Your Fund Manager     Your FX Consultant     Your Trading Trainer    Contact Us     Home Page

FX Recommends

We were the first to represent FX trading consultancies and FX management services. We respect our clients' minds. We always tell them about our reasons and the change of current market sentiment and how this can change the best to buy and the best to sell. Forex and CFDs are the most volatile markets, so you should be dynamic enough to catch up with any change of the current market sentiment. Surely, we represent our services with a simple style trying to help the beginners too.

Walid Salah El Din's talking about the interest rate outlook in US on 19/11/2014

Walid Salah El Din's talking about The Japanese GDP preliminary contraction in the third quarter on 19/11/2014

Walid Salah El Din's talking about the slide of the US treasuries yields and the equity market  correction on 16/10/2014

Walid Salah El Din's talking about the central banks' directions effects on the raw material prices on 4/9/2014

Walid Salah El Din's talking about the slide of the US major stocks indexes on 4/8/2014

Walid Salah El Din's talking about the the release of the Fed's meeting minutes of July 30 2014 on 21/8/2014

Walid Salah El Din's talking about PBOC's efforts to lower the shibor rate on 24/12/2013

Walid Salah El Din's talking about Forex trading in the Arab countries on 28/11/2013

Walid Salah El Din's talking about the gold falling on 27/6/2013

Walid Salah El Din's talking about G20 meeting on 17/2/2013

Walid Salah El Din's talking about EURUSD technically on 29/1/2013

Walid Salah El Din's talking about World Bank global growth expectations on 16/1/2013

Walid Salah El Din's talking about the fiscal cliff deal impact on 6/1/2013

Walid Salah El Din's talking about the fiscal cliff on 29/11/2012

Walid Salah El Din's talking about Greece debt Crisis on 22/11/2012

Walid Salah El Din's talking about Metals on 13/11/2012

Walid Salah El Din's talking about Gold on 27/9/2012

Walid Salah El Din's expectation of cutting the deposit rate by the ECB by 0.25% to be zero on the 4th of July 2012

 

These interviews at CNBC Arabia were in Arabic.

For watching the results after trading US September 2012 Non Farm payroll release click here

For watching what's running now click here

For watching more results of 2012, you can click here

You can always feel free to send  mail@fx-recommends.com asking for FX-Recommends free market commentary

15/12/2014 - The oil slide could be added to the downside risk threatening the inflation outlook


 

 Subscribe in a reader

The oil prices could rebound during the Asian session supporting to risk appetite and also USDJPY to reach 119.05 after falling to 117.80 with WTI slide in the beginning hour of the week to $56.40 bbl.
The oil prices slide dampened the energy companiesí shares across the broad showing increasing worries about their future last week, while the manufacturing sector should provide lower prices in the future to its customers to reflect the oil prices slump and that sentiment directs the consumers to wait for lower prices and also causes lower earnings than what has been planned by the factories of this sector which is having currently lower paid prices can weigh down on its expansion.
The oil prices got down by a sever way since the end week of June amid stagnant economic activities in EU, lower expansion in China and contraction in Japan and even US which is having better economic performance having the biggest productions level in nearly 3 decades can reach 9.5m barrels a day later next year from currently nearly 8.5m are actually the highest since 1986, while its inventories of crude oil are still looking building up going closer to 400m barrels.
From another side, The OPEC members have exceeded the 30m barrels a day ceiling in the previous 6 months
Dow Jones lost last Friday 315.51 to end the session at 17280.83 which is the lowest reached level since reaching all times high at 17991.19 a week ago following the release of US non-farm payrolls of November which has shown adding 321k, while the forecast 232k, after gaining 243k in October but the future rate is referring to opening today in the green territory with WTI is still able to consolidate around $58.5bbl.
Because of the current dovish inflation outlook in US, UST 10YR yield has fallen to 2.10% from nearly 3% a year ago when the Fed has started tapering its QE which has ended by the end of last October, as the greenback could be boosted this year by better interest rate outlook comparing to the G7, while the energy prices were watching very dovish second half this year.
You can see the impact easily on the importing price index of November which slumped by 2.3% yearly showing the highest yearly scale of falling since July 2012.
And also Nov US PPI which has indicated that there can be further prices falling over the producing level by the end of last week by falling by 0.2% m/m, after rising by 0.2% in October and even with the core figure excluding the food and the energy prices came unchanged, after rising by 0.4% in October.
God willing, after the release of Nov US CPI which is expected to drop monthly by 0.1% following no change in October, The market will be waiting for the Fed next Wednesday to know more about its appreciation of the inflation downside risks against the upside forces which are underpinned by the rising of the economic activity in US which supported the labor market significantly recently.
While the markets will be waiting for the time of omitting the phrase of leaving the interest rate at the current low level for considerable period of time as a hint of a close by interest rate hiking.
But most expectations are still referring now to holding of the interest rate near zero, despite the US economic recovery as there are no inflation forces to make it in rush to hike the interest rate for the first time since 2006.
As PCE which is the Fedís Favorite gauge of inflation is still decelerating rising by only 1.4% y/y in October and September, after increasing in July and in June by 1.6%, after soaring by 1.8% in May to indicate that there is no rising of the inflation pressure on the Fed which has yearly target at 2% has not been watched since March 2012.



 


Kind Regards
FX Market Strategist
Walid Salah El din
E-mail: mail@fx-recommends.com

 

 

Note : Not Walid Salah El Din nor FX recommends accepts any liability for any loss or damage what's ever that may directly or indirectly result from any advice, opinion, information, representation or omission, whether negligent or otherwise, contained in these trading recommendations. please read the disclaimer

Important Links

     

     

      

Your Fund Manager     Your FX consultant     Your Trading Trainer    Contact Us     Home Page

Copyright (c) 2002 Walid Mohamed